Limitations
This study has several limitations. It was conducted at a single institution with a group of veterans, which limits the ability to generalize its results to the general population. Second, data omissions are likely in retrospective chart reviews, and ensuring accuracy of data collection could be challenging. Third, all thyroid nodules found to be benign with cytology did not undergo surgical intervention to confirm the diagnosis; therefore, only 93 of 329 nodules were evaluated with the definitive diagnostic test. Therefore, selection bias was introduced into the nodule size comparisons when surgical intervention was used to measure the outcome. However, because false negative rates for FNA is low, likely few malignant nodules were missed. In addition, all patients with thyroid nodules are not referred for surgery because of potential complications.
Conclusion
This study strongly suggests there is no increased or decreased cancer risk for thyroid nodules ≥ 3 cm compared with those < 3 cm. Current clinical practice is to refer patients with larger nodules for surgical evaluation. In a large systemic review, Shin and colleagues reported higher pretest probability of malignancy in larger nodules and recommended consideration of surgical intervention for nodules > 3 cm because of false negatives and concerns for diagnostic inaccuracy with FNA.8 Although data were mixed, Shin and colleagues reported higher incidence of false negative FNA results in larger nodules.8 Given the authors’ findings and earlier conflicting results, the decision for surgical intervention cannot be made solely on nodule size and requires consideration of additional factors including FNA results, nodule characteristics, patient risk factors, and patient preference.