Anecdotal reports have suggested that people have been less likely to go to the hospital for emergencies during the COVID-19 pandemic. Findings from a study by 2 physicians at Mount Sinai in New York now provide support for that: Between March 11 and April 21, 2020, 42% fewer patients were admitted to US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) inpatient facilities when compared with the preceding 6 weeks.
The researchers analyzed data from the VA Corporate Data Warehouse and examined at trends during the first 16 weeks of 2019 and 2020 for 6 common emergency conditions: stroke, myocardial infarction, heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), appendicitis, and pneumonia. Strikingly, the number of patients admitted dropped from 77,624 in weeks 5 to 10 of 2020 to 45,155 in weeks 11 to 16.
The number of patients admitted for stroke declined by 52%; myocardial infarction, 40%; COPD, 48%; heart failure, 49%; and appendicitis, 57%. By contrast, the number of patients admitted overall and for each condition did not decline during the same weeks in 2019. Admissions for pneumonia dropped during weeks 11 to 16 by 14% in 2019 and 28% in 2020. When patients who tested positive for COVID-19 were excluded, however, pneumonia admissions decreased by 46%. Of patients who were admitted during weeks 11 to 16 of 2020, 2,458 had tested positive for COVID-19 during weeks 5 to 10.
The authers contend that the marked drop in admissions is unlikely to be attributable to a reduction in disease incidence. Rather, they theorize that many patients may be avoiding hospitals out of fear of becoming infected with SARS-CoV-2. These data “should raise serious concerns,” the authors say, about the well-being and health outcomes of the patients who aren’t getting the emergency or inpatient care they need.