Original Research

Medicaid Expansion and Veterans’ Reliance on the VA for Depression Care

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References

This project was approved by the Baylor College of Medicine Institutional Review Board (IRB # H-40441) and the Michael E. Debakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center Research and Development Committee.

Results

Baseline and postexpansion characteristics

for expansion and nonexpansion states are reported in Table 1. Except for non-White race, where the table shows an increase in nonexpansion to expansion states, these data indicate similar shifts in covariates from pre- to postexpansion periods, which supports the parallel trends assumption. Missing cases were less than 5% for all variables.

VA Reliance

Overall, we observed postexpansion decreases in VA reliance for depression care

among expansion states compared with nonexpansion states (Table 2). For the inpatient analysis, Medicaid expansion was associated with a 9.50 percentage point (pp) relative decrease (95% CI, -14.62 to -4.38) in VA reliance for depression care among service-connected veterans and a 13.37 pp (95% CI, -21.12 to -5.61) decrease among income-eligible veterans. For the outpatient analysis, we found a small but statistically significant decrease in VA reliance for income-eligible veterans (-2.19 pp; 95% CI, -3.46 to -0.93) that was not observed for service-connected veterans (-0.60 pp; 95% CI, -1.40 to 0.21). Figure 1 shows
adjusted annual changes in VA reliance among inpatient groups, while Figure 2 highlights outpatient groups. Note also that both the income-eligible and service-connected groups have similar trend lines from 1999 through 2001 when the initial ound of Medicaid expansion happened, additional evidence supporting the parallel trends assumption.

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