A new study supports the idea that most cancer-driving mutations are a result of DNA replication errors, not heredity or lifestyle/environmental factors.
For all 32 cancer types studied, researchers found that 66% of driver mutations resulted from DNA replication errors, 29% could be attributed to lifestyle or environmental factors, and the remaining 5% were inherited.
In hematologic malignancies, the percentage of mutations caused by DNA replication errors was even higher—70% in Hodgkin lymphoma, 85% in leukemias, 96% in non-Hodgkin lymphomas, and 99% in myeloma.
Cristian Tomasetti, PhD, of Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine in Baltimore, Maryland, and his colleagues reported these findings in Science.
“It is well-known that we must avoid environmental factors such as smoking to decrease our risk of getting cancer, but it is not as well-known that each time a normal cell divides and copies its DNA to produce 2 new cells, it makes multiple mistakes,” Dr Tomasetti said.
“These copying mistakes are a potent source of cancer mutations that, historically, have been scientifically undervalued, and this new work provides the first estimate of the fraction of mutations caused by these mistakes.”
In 2015, Dr Tomasetti and his colleagues reported that DNA replication errors could explain why certain cancers occur more often than others in the US.
The current study builds upon that research but includes additional cancers and encompasses an international population.
The researchers first studied the relationship between the number of normal stem cell divisions and the risk of 17 cancer types in 69 countries representing 4.8 billion people, or more than half of the world’s population.
The team said they observed a strong correlation between cancer incidence and normal stem cell divisions in all countries, regardless of their environment.
Next, the researchers set out to determine the percentage of driver mutations caused by DNA replication errors in 32 cancer types. The team developed a mathematical model using DNA sequencing data from The Cancer Genome Atlas and epidemiologic data from the Cancer Research UK database.
According to the researchers, it generally takes 2 or more critical mutations for cancer to occur. In an individual, these mutations can be due to random DNA replication errors, the environment, or inherited genes.
Knowing this, the researchers used their mathematical model to show, for example, that when critical mutations in leukemia are added together, 85.2% of them are due to random DNA replication errors, 14.3% to environmental factors, and 0.5% to heredity.
In Hodgkin lymphoma, 69.5% are due to DNA replication errors, 30% to environmental factors, and 0.5% to heredity. In non-Hodgkin lymphoma, 95.6% are due to random DNA replication errors, 3.9% to environmental factors, and 0.5% to heredity.
In myeloma, 99.3% are due to DNA replication errors, 0.2% to environmental factors, and 0.5% to heredity.
Dr Tomasetti said these random DNA replication errors will only get more important as aging populations continue to grow, prolonging the opportunity for cells to make more and more errors.
“We need to continue to encourage people to avoid environmental agents and lifestyles that increase their risk of developing cancer mutations,” said study author Bert Vogelstein, MD, of The Sidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center at Johns Hopkins University.
“However, many people will still develop cancers due to these random DNA copying errors, and better methods to detect all cancers earlier, while they are still curable, are urgently needed.”