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Signs may predict death in cancer patients


 

Doctor holding a clipboard

Researchers have identified 8 highly specific physical and cognitive signs that seem to be associated with imminent death in cancer patients.

The findings, published in Cancer, could offer clinicians the ability to better communicate with patients and their families.

The research might also help guide the medical team and caregivers when it comes to complex decision making, such as discontinuing tests and therapy, plans for hospital discharge, and hospice referral.

Previous studies in end-of-life care have focused on physicians prognosticating better. However, research on how to tell if a patient has entered the final days of life has been minimal, according to David Hui, MD, of the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center in Houston.

“In the past, studies trying to understand the signs associated with impending death were conducted in people who were recognized as dying, so there’s a potential bias built into this model,” Dr Hui said.

“With our study, we observed a list of signs in patients from the time they were admitted to the palliative care unit. They were observed systematically, twice a day, without knowing if the patient would die or be discharged.”

Dr Hui and his colleagues observed 357 cancer patients, 57% of whom ultimately died. The researchers observed 52 physical and cognitive signs—identified by Dr Hui and his colleagues in previous research—twice a day from the patient’s admission to discharge or death.

Of those 52 signs, the 8 most highly associated with impending death within 3 days were:

  • Nonreactive pupils
  • Decreased response to verbal stimuli
  • Decreased response to visual stimuli
  • Inability to close eyelids
  • Drooping of the nasolabial fold
  • Neck hyperextension
  • Grunting of vocal cords
  • Upper gastrointestinal bleeding.

“When cancer patients reach the last days of life, this is an extremely emotional time for families; their stress levels cannot be understated,” Dr Hui said.

“Knowing when death is imminent would provide more information so caregivers can plan appropriately. For clinicians, having this information could help reassure families that we are providing the best care possible.”

Dr Hui stressed that this research is not yet practice-changing, but is an important step in understanding these 8 signs and their relation to impending death. In addition, the findings are only representative of imminent cancer death and should not be generalized to other causes of death.

Follow-up studies in different settings are planned. Dr Hui and his colleagues plan to look at the reliability of the identified signs, as well as evaluate this research in other countries and in the hospice setting.

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