The Food and Drug Administration has been harshly criticized for using surrogate endpoints in clinical trials in its approval of new drugs, and especially so in oncology, where critics have argued that the only truly meaningful endpoint is overall survival (OS).
But the FDA is now fighting back and is arguing that in certain cases surrogate endpoints do translate to overall survival benefits. A case in point is in clinical trials of new treatments being investigated in patients newly diagnosed with acute myeloid leukemia (AML).
The results show that these particular surrogate endpoints do have real value in predicting the efficacy of drugs for the treatment of newly diagnosed AML, they concluded.
“To our knowledge, our results represent the first direct examination of the relationship of response rate and EFS to OS using trial-level and patient-level data in patients with newly diagnosed AML treated with intensive induction chemotherapy,” the FDA investigators commented.
“The results support the FDA’s acceptance of EFS as a clinical benefit endpoint supportive of traditional approval for treatments with curative intent,” they added.
The analysis was published online on Dec. 10, 2021, in the Journal of Clinical Oncology.
“The central finding of the article, that both EFS and the CR rate are reliably associated with improved OS, is of immediate relevance and indicates that these parameters represent acceptable and appropriate surrogate endpoints for clinical trials of AML,” Courtney DiNardo, MD, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, and Daniel Pollyea, MD, University of Colorado at Denver, Aurora, wrote in an accompanying editorial.
“The establishment of CR and EFS as appropriate surrogate endpoints for patients with newly diagnosed AML receiving intensive chemotherapy will allow earlier evaluation of novel therapies and speed the delivery of safe and effective therapies to our patients,” they added.
Analysis of clinical trials submitted for approval
The FDA investigators conducted an analysis of eight trials that had been submitted to the agency for licensing approval between 2007 and 2011. Together, the trials included a total of 4,482 patients with newly diagnosed AML.
Five trials evaluated gemtuzumab ozogamicin (Mylotarg), while two trials evaluated a daunorubicin and cytarabine liposome injection, also known as CPX-351 (Vyxeos), and one trial evaluated midostaurin (RYDAPT).
“All were approved in combination with, or for use as, intensive induction chemotherapy in patients with newly diagnosed AML,” the team wrote. Both trial-level and patient-level associations between responses, EFS, and OS were evaluated.
The association between the hazard ratio for OS and the odds ratio for CR at the trial level was “moderate.” The association between the HR for OS and the OR for lesser response rates – namely, CR with incomplete hematologic recovery (CRi) and CR with incomplete platelet recovery (CRp) – was similarly moderate, as investigators note.
On the other hand, while the associations between the HR for OS and the HR for EFS were again moderate, “on the basis of the harmonized primary definition of EFS across trials, the association became stronger,” the authors reported. The harmonized definition of EFS across the trials included time from random assignment to treatment failure, relapse from CR, or death from any cause, whichever occurred earlier.
The FDA authors cautioned that a significant number of patients who relapsed did not die during the course of the clinical trial, resulting in a considerably longer OS, compared with EFS in some patients. However, to further explore the relationship between response and survival, a patient-level analysis of response – namely, CR versus CRi or CRp versus no response – was performed.”Patients who achieved a CR had a [27%] better OS, compared with patients whose best response was CRi or CRp,” the authors noted.
Patients who achieved a CRi or a CRp as their best response still had a 54% better OS, compared with patients who achieved no response, irrespective of the treatment received, they added.
Interestingly enough, a small number of patients who had no response to treatment also experienced prolonged survival, possibly because of successful second-line therapy, the authors speculated.