Not ruling out other theories
People who believe SARS-CoV-2 was released from a laboratory in China at first included Dr. Worobey himself. “I’ve in the past been much more open to the lab leak idea,” he said. “And published that in a letter in Science” in November 2021.
The letter was “much more influential than I thought it would be in ways that I think it turned out to be quite damaging,” he said. As more evidence emerged since then, Dr. Worobey said he came around to the Wuhan market source theory.
Dr. Andersen agreed he was more open to the lab-leak theory at first. “I was quite convinced of the lab leak myself until we dove into this very carefully and looked at it much closer,” he said. Newer evidence convinced him “that actually, the data points to this particular market.”
“Have we disproved the lab-leak theory? No,” Dr. Anderson said. “Will we ever be able to? No.” But the Wuhan market origin scenario is more plausible. “I would say these two papers combined present the strongest evidence of that to date.”
Identifying the source of the outbreak that led to the COVID-19 pandemic is based in science, Dr. Andersen said. “What we’re trying to understand is the origin of the pandemic. We’re not trying to place blame.”
Future directions
“With pandemics being pandemics, they affect all of us,” Dr. Andersen said. “We can’t prevent these kinds of events that led to the COVID-19 pandemic. But what we can hope to do is to prevent outbreaks from becoming pandemics.”
Rapid reporting of data and cooperation are needed going forward, Dr. Andersen said. Very strong surveillance systems, including wastewater surveillance, could help monitor for SARS-CoV-2, and other pathogens of potential concern in the future as well.
It should be standard practice for medical professionals to be on alert for unusual respiratory infections too, the researchers said.
“It’s a bloody lucky thing that the doctors at the Shinwa hospital were so on the ball, that they noticed that these cases were something unusual at the end of December,” Dr. Worobey said. “It didn’t have to work out that way.”
A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.