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Can a saliva test predict the best way to manage obesity?


 

Removing the stigma

If knowing your obesity type ends up making a difference, it could change the conversation people have with their medical provider, Dr. Acosta said. It could also help remove some of the stigma around obesity.

“We’re going to change the conversation because now we can say: ‘Hey, you have obesity because you have ‘Hungry Gut’ phenotype. And because of that, you’re going to respond to this medication,” Dr. Acosta said. The phenotyping suggests a strong genetic tendency – a biologic basis for obesity.

“So it’s not only a way of taking the blame out, but it’s also way of explaining that there’s a reason why you have obesity,” Dr. Acosta said. It tells people: “You’re not a failure.”

More cost-effective treatment?

Targeting obesity treatment could also save on overall health care costs, Dr. Almandoz said. He estimated a cost of $1,400 per month “for forever and ever semaglutide” or at least $1,400 a month for a 3-month trial to see if this medication works in a particular person with obesity.

“That’s a lot of money when you extrapolate that out over the number of people who probably meet the criteria for treatment,” he said. A total 42% of Americans meet the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention definition for obesity.

“You can imagine the potential cost if we were to provide antiobesity therapies to everybody and we were to use what is the most effective class of medication, which is more than a thousand dollars per month, indefinitely,” Dr. Almandoz said. “Not that we should not treat everybody. That’s not the message I’m saying. But if we’re looking at yield or value in terms of treating obesity in a setting with limited resources, it may be best to start with who is most likely to benefit.”

How they created four obesity types

Starting in 2015, Dr. Acosta and colleagues started comparing tests in people with normal weight versus obesity. They used artificial intelligence and machine learning to classify obesity into 11 types at first. They realized this many obesity types were not practical for doctors and people with obesity, so they combined them into four phenotypes.

“The AI machine learning was followed by, as I like to call, HI, or human intelligence,” he said.

The saliva test checks for about 6,000 relevant genetic single-nucleotide polymorphisms. Six thousand genetic changes may sound like a large number to check; however, the average individual carries 5 million and 6 million SNPs in their DNA.

The results are translated to a score that yields a low risk or high risk for Hungry Gut or other types of obesity. “You can have all six thousand genetic mutations, or you can have zero,” Dr. Acosta said.

Moving forward

After the soft launch of Hungry Gut testing in April, Phenomix plans to continue studying their saliva test on other obesity types.

Dr. Acosta is not aware of any direct competitors to Phenomix, although that could change. “I think we’re the only diagnostic company in the space right now. But if it’s really a $14.8 billion market, we’re going to see a lot of diagnostic companies trying to do what we’re doing – if we’re successful,” he said.

An October 2022 report from Polaris Market Research estimates that the global market for obesity treatment – medications, surgery, and all others – was about $14 billion in 2021. The same report predicts the market will grow to $32 billion by 2030.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

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