“Contemporary ECG interpretation criteria designed specifically for use in young athletes have eliminated the problem of false-positive testing.”
FALSE. The story of adding ECG screening to the PPCVS is one of dramatically improved sensitivity over history and physical exam alone, but always at the cost of reduced specificity. In the Harvard Athlete Initiative Study, Dr. Baggish and coworkers reported that adding the 12-lead ECG resulted in a 17% false-positive rate (Ann Intern Med. 2010 Mar 2;152[5]:269-75). Similar findings were reported in independent studies at two other large universities.
“An ECG false-positive rate of 16%-20%? That’s big trouble. Remember, the conditions we’re looking for are uncommon, with a prevalence of maybe 1 in 500 at most. So if you’re flagging one-fifth or one-sixth of your athletes, the ECG is really not an appropriate tool for screening,” he commented.
Recognition of this limitation has led to development of refined, improved ECG criteria: most notably, the 2012 Seattle criteria, with an associated false-positive rate of 4%-8%, followed by the 2017 International Consensus Criteria (J Am Coll Cardiol. 2017 Feb 28;69[8]:1057-75), with a false-positive rate of 1%-2%. That’s a great improvement. Still, when Dr. Baggish, a marathoner himself, thinks about the roughly 32,000 Boston Marathon runners at the starting line each year, that false-positive rate would translate into 320-640 of those individuals being needlessly subjected to the not-insignificant time and expense of further testing, along with considerable anxiety for the runners and their families, and perhaps even inappropriate disqualification.
“Current ACC/AHA guidelines recommend against the use of the 12-lead ECG during the PPCVS.”
FALSE. Dr. Baggish was a coauthor of the current guidelines, which he described as “an open-door invitation to local decisions, with some important caveats” (Circulation. 2015 Dec 1;132[22]:e267-72).
The guidelines state that the minimum requirement and legal standard for PPCVS of young competitive athletes is a focused history and physical examination, such as the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association 14-point screen, which consists of 10 elements addressing personal and family history and 4 focused on the physical examination, or the American Academy of Pediatrics Preparticipation Physical Evaluation. Further, while mandatory universal inclusion of the 12-lead ECG is not recommended – it’s rated Class III, meaning don’t do it – the guidelines state that screening programs are at liberty to choose the 12-lead ECG as an additional tool, “provided that close physician involvement and sufficient quality control can be achieved. If undertaken, such initiatives should recognize the known and anticipated limitations of the 12-lead ECG as a population screening test, including the expected frequency of false-positive and false-negative test results, as well as the cost required to support these initiatives over time.”
Dr. Baggish considers the ACC/AHA guidelines to be one of the two most important developments in the field of SCD during sports in recent years. The other is the NCAA-sponsored multidisciplinary Interassociation Consensus Statement on Cardiovascular Care of College Student-Athletes, which he also coauthored (J Am Coll Cardiol. 2016 Jun 28;67[25]:2981-95).
The report lays out the case for a much broader than traditional view of the PPCVS, with “goals that extend beyond detection of occult high-risk pathology.”
“The NCAA has done something very interesting,” Dr. Baggish explained. “It has said that, if we’re going to be screening, we should be thinking about screening with a much broader rationale. It’s not just about finding the needle-in-a-haystack hypertrophic cardiomyopathy or anomalous coronary arteries, it’s about engaging student-athletes at an early point in their collegiate career and trying to improve their health overall – and not just while they’re in college, but over their lifespan.”
He reported having no financial conflicts regarding his presentation.