Literature Review

Which Factors Predict Relapse Freedom After Cessation of MS Treatment?


 

Patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) treated with interferon beta or glatiramer acetate who are age 45 or older and have no evidence of clinical disease activity for more than four years have a high likelihood of remaining relapse-free after treatment cessation, according to research published online ahead of print October 20 in Multiple Sclerosis.

The study conducted by Gabriel Bsteh, MD, a neurologist at the Medical University of Innsbruck in Austria, and his colleagues provides evidence in the absence of randomized trials that may help guide discussions with patients—particularly those who have not had a relapse recently—when they ask whether they could discontinue disease-modifying treatment (DMT).

Gabriel Bsteh, MD

The current study involved 221 patients with relapsing-remitting MS who discontinued DMT after more than a year and had documented follow-up at two years. After a median follow-up period of 3.8 years, 98 patients (44.3%) had a relapse. Confirmed disability progression occurred in 46 patients (20.8%), and 15 patients (6.8%) converted to secondary progressive MS.

The independent predictors of absence of relapse after discontinuing treatment included age 45 or older at discontinuation (hazard ratio [HR], 0.47), absence of relapses for four or more years on DMT before discontinuation (HR, 0.29), and absence of contrast-enhancing lesions (HR, 0.46). A combination of age 45 or older and absence of relapses after four or more years on DMT was associated with a very low risk of having a relapse after discontinuation, regardless of MRI results (HR, 0.06).

Higher Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores at discontinuation, age older than 45 at discontinuation, and longer disease duration were the only significant independent predictors of disability progression after discontinuation, irrespective of the presence of relapses on DMT or gadolinium-enhancing lesions.

“This [result] underlines the concept of a window of opportunity in the treatment of MS, in the sense that once a certain extent of disability is reached, the impact of relapses, and therefore the effect of anti-inflammatory treatment, is drastically reduced,” said the investigators.

The study is limited by its observational, retrospective nature, but the results emphasized the importance of regular, thorough clinical evaluation of patients with relapsing-remitting MS, said the researchers. “While MRI may have a role in aiding decision making regarding DMT discontinuation, our data clearly show that demographic factors and clinical monitoring go a long way in risk stratification,” they said.

The authors received no financial support for the study, but several of the authors reported participating in meetings or receiving honoraria from various pharmaceutical companies.

Nicola Garrett

Suggested Reading

Bsteh G, Feige J, Ehling R, et al. Discontinuation of disease-modifying therapies in multiple sclerosis - Clinical outcome and prognostic factors. Mult Scler. 2016 Oct 20 [Epub ahead of print].

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