Multiday patterns
Recent research shows that “we are just at the start,” Dr. Privitera said. “There are patterns underlying seizure frequency that … we are only beginning to be able to look at because of these chronic recordings.”
Baud et al. analyzed interictal epileptiform activity and seizures in patients who have had responsive neurostimulators for as long as 10 years (Nat Commun. 2018 Jan 8;9[1]:88). “What they found was that interictal spikes and rhythmic discharges oscillate with circadian and multiday periods that differ from person to person,” Dr. Privitera said. “There were multiday periodicities, most commonly in the 20- to 30-day duration, that were relatively stable over periods of time that lasted up to years.”
Researchers knew that seizures in women of childbearing age can cluster in association with the menstrual cycle, but similar cycles also were seen in men. In addition, the researchers found that seizures “occur preferentially during the rising phase of these multiday interictal rhythms,” which has implications for seizure forecasts, Dr. Privitera noted.
Stress biomarkers and wearables
Future seizure prediction methods may incorporate other biomarkers, such as stress hormones. A researcher at the University of Cincinnati, Jason Heikenfeld, PhD, is conducting research with a sensor that sticks to the wrist and measures sweat content, Dr. Privitera said. The technology originally was developed to measure sodium and potassium in sweat, but Dr. Privitera’s group has been working with him to measure cortisol, which may be a biomarker for stress and be useful for seizure prediction.
“Multivariate models are needed. We have lots of different ways that we can look at seizure prediction, and most likely the most accurate seizure prediction programs will incorporate multiple different areas,” Dr. Privitera said. “Seizure forecasting is possible. We can do it now. We can probably do it better than chance in many patients. ... It is important because changes in seizure likelihood could lead to pharmacologic or device or behavioral interventions that may help prevent seizures.”
Dr. Privitera reported conducting contracted research for Greenwich and SK Life Science and receiving consulting fees from Upsher-Smith and Astellas.
SOURCE: Privitera M. AES 2018, Judith Hoyer Lecture in Epilepsy.
