“In the time immediately after diagnosis, the risk of death in people with GPA is very high, and over the first 6 months it tails off.” Then the mortalities are very similar, albeit much lower, to those of controls, but with another dip around 8 years.
The number at risk of death in the second year was 310 for GPA vs. 3,543 for controls and 230 vs. 2,622 at 4 years, 138 vs. 1,704 at 6 years, 93 vs. 1,136 at 8 years, and 49 vs. 658 at 10 years.
Looking at the data another way, the hazard ratios for death comparing GPA cases to controls was 24.5 in the first month, 14.6 in months 1-2, 7.5 by 2-3 months, 4.3 at 3-6 months, 1.6 at 6 months to 8 years, and 3.2 at 8-10 years.
Mortality seems to have improved with time. Splitting the cohort into two time periods based on their diagnosis, those diagnosed between 2008 and 2014 had a lower risk of death than did those diagnosed between 1998 and 2007, although it was still more than four times higher than the background population.