Investigator, adjudicated outcomes differ
Again, using PARADISE-MI as an example, he reevaluated the primary outcome based on investigator reports. When investigator-reported events are included, the number of events increased in both the ARNI (443 vs. 338) and ramipril (516 vs. 373) arms, but the advantage of the ARNI over the ACE inhibitors now reached statistical significance (HR, 0.85; P = .01).
“The data suggest that maybe we should find definitions for adjudication that are closer to clinical judgment in the real world and clinical practice,” Dr. Berwanger said.
One possible explanation for the neutral result in PARADISE-MI is that benefit of an ARNI over an ACE inhibitor would only be expected in those at risk for progressive left ventricular dysfunction, and it is likely that a substantial proportion of patients enrolled in this trial recovered, according to Johann Bauersachs, MD, PhD, professor and head of cardiology at Hannover (Germany) Medical School.
“You cannot predict which patients with reduced LV function following an MI will go on to chronic remodeling and which will recover,” said Dr. Bauersachs, who was an ESC-invited discussant of Dr. Berwanger’s post hoc analysis.
He agreed that Dr. Berwanger has raised several important issues in standard trial design that might have prevented PARADISE-MI from showing a benefit from an ARNI, but he pointed out that there are other potential issues, such as the low use of mineralocorticoid antagonists in PARADISE-MI, that may have skewed results.
However, he agreed generally with the premise that there is a need for trial design likely to generate more clinically useful information.
“We have now seen the win-ratio approach used in several studies,” said Dr. Bauersachs, citing in particular the EMPULSE trial presented at the 2022 meeting of the American College of Cardiology. “It is a very useful tool, and I think we will be seeing it used more in the future.”
However, he indicated that the issues raised by Dr. Berwanger are not necessarily easily resolved. Dr. Bauersachs endorsed the effort to consider trial designs that generate data that are more immediately clinically applicable but suggested that different types of designs may be required for different types of clinical questions.
Dr. Berwanger reports financial relationships with Amgen, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Pfizer, Servier, and Novartis, which provided funding for the PARADISE-MI trial. Dr. Bauersachs reports financial relationships with Amgen, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Cardior, Corvia, CVRx, Novartis, Pfizer, Vifor, and Zoll.