Among patients with hepatitis C virus infection who were in compensated cirrhosis, sustained viral response was associated with significantly lower rates of liver decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver-related death, even in the presence of clinically meaningful portal hypertension.
But patients in stage 2 cirrhosis were more likely than were stage 1 patients to develop liver decompensation and to die of hepatocellular carcinoma, regardless of SVR, said Dr. Vito Di Marco and his associates at the University of Palermo, Italy. “The available evidence, including our own, suggests that it is opportune to treat HCV as early as possible, in order to reduce progression to stages of cirrhosis in which a viral cure may be less likely lead to ultimate achievement of a major benefit,” they wrote. The report is in the July issue of Gastroenterology.
Clinically significant portal hypertension causes esophageal varices, a “landmark” indicator of stage 2 cirrhosis, the researchers noted. To parse the effects of SVR by cirrhosis stage, they followed all 444 HCV patients with compensated cirrhosis who were treated with pegylated interferon a2b and ribavirin at their tertiary liver centers between 2001 and 2009 (Gastroenterology 2016 March 31. doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2016.03.036).
The cohort included 218 patients without esophageal varices (that is, patients in stage 1 cirrhosis) and 226 patients with esophageal varices (stage 2 cirrhosis), the researchers said. The groups were demographically similar at baseline, and had similar body mass indices and rates of comorbidities. Rates of SVR were 31% for patients in stage 1 cirrhosis and 18% for patients in stage 2 cirrhosis (P = .003).
Among stage 1 patients, achieving SVR was associated with a lower risk of liver decompensation (0% versus 7%; P = .009), a lower annual rate of hepatocellular carcinoma (0.7% versus 2.9%; P = .002), and a lower risk of liver-related death (3% versus 12%; P = .03). Stage 1 cirrhosis patients also were about 75% less likely to develop esophageal varices if they achieved SVR than if they did not (hazard ratio [HR], 0.23; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.11 to 0.48; P less than .001).
Eradicating HCV infection also was associated with better clinical outcomes among patients in stage 2 cirrhosis, according to the investigators. For example, those who achieved SVR had a 0.9% annual rate of hepatocellular carcinoma, compared with 3.6% for those who did not (P = .002). And only 2% of stage 2 patients who achieved SVR died from hepatocellular carcinoma, compared to 18% of those who did not (P = .003).
But regardless of SVR, patients with stage 2 cirrhosis were nearly three times more likely to develop liver compensation (HR, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.73 to 4.59) and about 1.75 times more likely to die of liver-related causes (HR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.12 to 2.80) compared with patients in stage 1 cirrhosis, the investigators emphasized. Also, achieving SVR did not prevent stage 2 patients from developing more esophageal varices (HR, 1.58; 95% CI, 0.33 to 1.03).
The researchers acknowledged several study limitations. “We have performed many comparisons with respect to multiple endpoints, which could have increased the likelihood of inference errors that can result from multiple comparisons,” they wrote. “Furthermore, we cannot exclude the lack of power as an explanation for some of our results.” In addition, pegylated interferon–based therapies have low rates of SVR, and the study was limited to patients who could tolerate the regimen, they added. Nonetheless, the results indicate that eradicating HCV is clinically beneficial even in advanced compensated cirrhosis, but that early treatment helps maximize these outcomes, they concluded. “Pegylated interferon–free direct-acting antiviral combo regimens will ultimately increase the rate of virological cure to almost universal effectiveness,” they added. “It remains to be assessed whether the effectiveness of these new regimens will be automatically translated into a universal clinical benefit.”
The Italian Ministry of Health funded the study. The investigators had no disclosures.