CANCUN, MEXICO – Most patients with early rheumatoid arthritis do not have radiographic progression within the first 2 years of the disease, a study has shown.
Additionally, the risk of continuous radiographic progression during this period can be predicted using certain baseline indicators of disease activity, Maggie Hong Chen reported at the meeting.
An analysis of data from the Study of New-Onset Rheumatoid Arthritis (SONORA) cohort using the original Sharp method to score radiographic progression over 2 years identified the following four patterns among the 529 early arthritis patients included in the investigation: never progressed, progressed at year 1 only; progressed at year 2 only, and progressed at both year 1 and year 2, said Ms. Chen, a research fellow in the University Health Network Research Institute of the University of Toronto. For the analysis, radiographic progression was defined as a change in total Sharp score of at least 3.5 within a year, she noted.
Of the 529 patients – all of whom were diagnosed with early rheumatoid arthritis based on symptom duration of 3-12 months and who had hand radiographs obtained at baseline, 1 year, and 2 years – 457 patients (86%) had no progression, Ms. Chen reported. Progression at year 1, year 2, and both years 1 and 2 was observed in 18 patients (3.4%), 40 patients (7.6%), and 14 (2.6%), respectively, she said.
The investigators evaluated multiple potential clinical indicators of progression, including baseline Sharp score, baseline levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), answers to the Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ), swollen joint count, disease duration, anticyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) antibody status, gender, rheumatoid factor (RF) status, and smoking history. Of these, "baseline Sharp score was a statistically significant indicator of whether the subject would progress within the 2-year period," Ms. Chen stated, noting that, in the no-progression group, the mean baseline Sharp score was 4.06, compared with 9.33 in the 1-year progression group, 8.28 in the 2-year progression group, and 14.0 among the patients with progression both years.
Significant differences were also observed between the patterns for CRP score, baseline HAQ, swollen joint count, and anti-CCP positive status, said Ms. Chen. "Subjects who had no radiographic progression within the 2-year period were younger with a lower swollen joint count, a lower disease activity score [DAS], and lower CRP. They were also negative for anti-CCP and RF at baseline," she said.
The findings provide insight into the patterns and characteristics of radiographic damage in early rheumatoid arthritis, "and they may also contribute to clinical decision making," said Ms. Chen. The identified indicators can help rheumatologists identify patients at highest risk of continuous radiographic progression and manage them accordingly, potentially with more aggressive therapy if warranted, she said.
Ms. Chen had no financial conflicts of interest to disclose.