• Calculate a patient’s 10-year global risk of cardiovascular events using a risk-assessment tool before recommending aspirin for primary prevention. A
• Keep in mind that diabetes is not an indication for aspirin as primary cardiovascular protection, unless the patient’s calculated 10-year risk is >10%. A
Strength of recommendation (SOR)
A Good-quality patient-oriented evidence
B Inconsistent or limited-quality patient-oriented evidence
C Consensus, usual practice, opinion, disease-oriented evidence, case series
Among individuals at high risk (≥10%) for coronary heart disease (CHD) within 10 years, only 44% are taking aspirin.1 In addition, for patients at high risk for CHD events, estimated aspirin use varies among ethnic groups: 53% for whites, 43% for African Americans, 38% for Hispanics, and 28% for Chinese Americans.1
In contrast to this underuse of aspirin by those who need it, patients who do not need aspirin have been told otherwise,2 following widespread publicity of US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommendations from 2002 (that have since been updated). Overuse of aspirin is also likely among individuals whose CHD risk has never been formally assessed but who take it on their own, based on direct-to-consumer advertising about the cardiovascular (CV) benefits of aspirin. Also, the American Diabetes Association (ADA) once recommended aspirin for all patients with diabetes. But it now advises avoiding the use of aspirin for primary prevention of CV events unless a patient’s calculated CV risk over 10 years is >10%.3
Our review summarizes the latest evidence on the use of aspirin for primary prevention of CV events, including the determination of benefit vs harm, the variability in aspirin responsiveness among individuals, and the efficacy of aspirin treatment in men vs women and in those with diabetes.
When does benefit outweigh risk?
In 2002, the USPSTF concluded that patients with a 5-year risk of coronary events ≥3% had the most favorable benefit-to-risk ratio with aspirin use.4 It based its recommendation on 5 randomized, controlled primary prevention studies with aspirin that demonstrated a reduction in the risk of a first myocardial infarction (MI) in men.5-9 In 2009, the USPSTF updated its recommendations regarding the risks and benefits of aspirin for primary prevention of CHD,10 in part to include data from the Women’s Health Study11 that demonstrated a 24% relative risk (RR) reduction of ischemic stroke without reducing the risk of MI.
The USPSTF now recommends aspirin for men ages 45 to 79 to prevent a first MI, and for women ages 55 to 79 to prevent an ischemic stroke when the potential benefit outweighs the increased risk of gastrointestinal (GI) hemorrhage.10 Evidence does not support the use of aspirin for primary CHD prevention in men younger than 45 years or women younger than 55. Evidence is insufficient to recommend aspirin for primary prevention of CHD for individuals ≥80 years of age in the absence of other compelling indications such as atrial fibrillation.
Calculating benefit. The American Heart Association (AHA) recommends low-dose aspirin for primary prevention of CV events in all individuals with a calculated 10-year CHD risk of ≥10%, while cautioning about its use in patients at increased risk for GI bleeding and hemorrhagic stroke.12 The Framingham risk score13 is available online at http://hp2010.nhlbihin.net/atpiii/calculator.asp?usertype=prof to estimate an individual’s 10-year CHD risk (TABLE).14
Judging risk. There are no validated tools for assessing the long-term risk of intracranial or GI hemorrhage with low-dose aspirin. The risk factors for GI bleeding with nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) are well known,15 but less data exist for low-dose aspirin. Likely risk factors include a history of peptic ulcer disease, concomitant NSAID therapy, high-dose corticosteroids or anticoagulants, dual antiplatelet therapy, age >60 years, and male sex.16 Although proton-pump inhibitors prevent recurrent peptic ulcers secondary to low-dose aspirin use, little data exist on their value or cost effectiveness for this purpose.17
Why the AHA recommendation makes sense. The 2009 USPSTF recommendations still identify different tiers of risk according to 3 age brackets within the range of 45 (or 55) to 79 years. Since then, however, further studies seem to favor a less aggressive approach to aspirin use, more in keeping with the AHA recommendation.
The Antithrombotic Trialists’ (ATT) Collaboration18 published a meta-analysis using individual participant data from the same studies that served as the basis of the USPSTF recommendations.5-9,11 It found that aspirin did not reduce the risk of death due to CHD, stroke, or other vascular causes. The risk of nonfatal stroke also did not decline. Aspirin use decreased the risk of nonfatal MI (RR=0.77; 99% confidence interval [CI], 0.67-0.89), any major coronary event (RR=0.82; 95% CI, 0.75-0.90), and serious vascular events (RR=0.88; 95% CI, 0.82-0.94). The risk of extracranial hemorrhage, including GI bleeding, increased (RR=1.54; 95% CI, 1.30-1.82). Based on this analysis, the absolute reduction in serious ischemic events was partially offset by a small increase in serious bleeding. However, long-term disability from a nonfatal extracranial hemorrhage is likely less than that from a nonfatal stroke or MI.18